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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.10vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.24vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+5.56vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.93+7.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.69+7.00vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.91+1.29vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.90+4.35vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.40-2.57vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.07-2.40vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.43-0.47vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.35-1.31vs Predicted
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12Florida State University2.38-2.22vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.18vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.19-4.03vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.62-6.66vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.77-4.01vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.17-2.88vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.11-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.14Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.0Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.29Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.35George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.43Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.6Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.69College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.78Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.97SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.99Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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14.12North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.3% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Edward Cook | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Calvin Schmid | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 17.7% | 27.3% |
| Abe Weston | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.