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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.07vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+5.15vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+3.21vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.62+4.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.33vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90+5.43vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.19+3.22vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.07-1.45vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.40-3.62vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.91-2.47vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.69+1.31vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-2.43vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.38-3.73vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.93-3.04vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.35-5.47vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.17-1.90vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.77-5.01vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.11-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.34Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.43George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.22SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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6.55Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.38Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.53Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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12.31Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.27Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.96Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.53College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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14.1North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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11.99Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Dana Haig | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 26.3% |
| Calvin Schmid | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% |
| Abe Weston | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.