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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.27vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+5.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.07+3.77vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+3.14vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.62+3.36vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.38+3.41vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.77+4.85vs Predicted
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82.64+0.25vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.90+2.29vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40-4.30vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.19-0.70vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.76+0.22vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-2.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-6.45vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.93-3.81vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.35-6.44vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.11-2.73vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.33-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.77Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.41Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.85Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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8.252.640.1%1st Place
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11.29George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.7Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.3SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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12.22Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.19Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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14.27University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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13.29North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Edward Cook | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Calvin Schmid | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 11.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 30.7% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.