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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+6.20vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.16vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+6.75vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.38+5.30vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.07+1.54vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90+5.38vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.91+0.23vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.62+0.35vs Predicted
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92.64-0.75vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40-4.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.08vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.77+0.19vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.19-2.96vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.93-3.16vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.11-0.85vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.76-4.02vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.07-6.22vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.33-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.75College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.3Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.54Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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11.38George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.35Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.252.640.1%1st Place
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5.65Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.19Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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10.04SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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10.84Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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11.98Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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10.78Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.31North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.7% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Edward Cook | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Dana Haig | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Calvin Schmid | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| Abe Weston | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 28.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.