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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.27vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.07+9.06vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.17vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.07+2.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.86vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90+5.45vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.19+3.28vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.35+1.54vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.77+3.00vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.91-2.46vs Predicted
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11Florida State University2.38-1.35vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.40-6.22vs Predicted
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132.64-4.75vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.09-3.67vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.65-2.61vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.76-3.91vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.62-8.42vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.11-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.06Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.59Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.45George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.28SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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9.54College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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12.0Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.65Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.78Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.252.640.1%1st Place
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10.33Old Dominion University2.090.0%1st Place
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12.39North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.09Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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8.58Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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14.18University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.7% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 9.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% |
| Edward Cook | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Abe Weston | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.