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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+7.17vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+6.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+5.00vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+6.31vs Predicted
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51.42+8.21vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+4.14vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75+0.15vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.30-2.20vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.18-3.05vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.35-0.74vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.81vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.40-2.87vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-2.06vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.38-4.71vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.22-5.55vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.28-6.28vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-3.66vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Yale University2.927.5%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University2.687.6%1st Place
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8.0Brown University2.915.8%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.383.8%1st Place
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13.211.422.0%1st Place
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10.14Boston College2.563.8%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College2.758.2%1st Place
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5.8Stanford University3.3012.8%1st Place
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5.95Harvard University3.1811.7%1st Place
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9.26Tulane University2.355.6%1st Place
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11.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.1%1st Place
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9.13Georgetown University2.405.7%1st Place
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10.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.3%1st Place
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9.29College of Charleston2.385.3%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University2.225.2%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy2.283.7%1st Place
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13.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.761.6%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Henry Lee | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 22.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Maks Groom | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 24.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.