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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+3.05vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+2.19vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+3.53vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77+2.45vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.38-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.51+1.30vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.11+1.06vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.89+0.87vs Predicted
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9Princeton University2.35-4.13vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98-4.15vs Predicted
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11University of Kansas0.80-1.76vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.51+0.13vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.07-2.09vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.19North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.53Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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6.45Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.85Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.3University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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8.06Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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8.87Jacksonville University0.890.0%1st Place
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4.87Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.85Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
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12.13Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.91Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
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11.69Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 18.5% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Pappas | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Connor Teague | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 21.7% | 40.3% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 19.7% | 19.1% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 25.3% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.