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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.25vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+1.90vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+3.48vs Predicted
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4University of Kansas0.80+5.09vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-0.09vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.51+6.15vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.38-2.48vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.51-0.95vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.07+1.97vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-3.48vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.77-4.56vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.89-3.12vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.11-4.82vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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3.9University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.48Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
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4.91Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.15Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.52Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.05University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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10.97Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
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6.52Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.44Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.88Jacksonville University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.18Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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11.67Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 16.2% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.1% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Teague | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 20.8% | 41.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.9% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 19.5% | 23.0% | 17.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Pappas | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 23.0% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.