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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Scott Harris 17.9% 14.2% 14.1% 13.1% 10.8% 8.9% 6.4% 5.8% 4.0% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Zachariah Schemel 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 9.8% 9.7% 10.5% 11.6% 5.9% 5.3% 2.6% 0.4%
Nils Tullberg 7.2% 7.7% 8.3% 7.8% 8.9% 10.2% 10.1% 9.9% 9.7% 9.2% 6.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Eden Nykamp 5.9% 7.2% 9.1% 8.1% 10.1% 10.0% 10.2% 10.1% 9.1% 7.8% 6.7% 4.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Valerio Palamara 5.7% 8.7% 7.4% 9.7% 9.7% 9.1% 11.2% 9.1% 9.1% 8.5% 6.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Atlee Kohl 16.7% 14.9% 16.5% 12.9% 11.7% 7.9% 7.2% 4.6% 4.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 14.3% 14.6% 12.2% 11.8% 10.8% 12.0% 8.3% 6.8% 4.6% 2.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 14.0% 13.8% 11.6% 11.9% 11.3% 10.4% 7.6% 7.7% 6.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Pappas 3.6% 2.6% 3.7% 3.0% 4.2% 5.6% 6.0% 8.0% 10.9% 11.5% 16.5% 13.5% 7.2% 3.7%
Seamus Hendrickson 2.7% 2.1% 2.7% 3.5% 4.7% 5.8% 6.6% 7.6% 9.3% 12.1% 13.3% 14.6% 10.4% 4.6%
Matthew Beretta 0.7% 1.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 3.3% 6.0% 4.2% 8.5% 10.4% 17.1% 23.3% 18.3%
Daniel Hodges 3.6% 3.7% 3.8% 5.0% 6.2% 6.8% 9.6% 9.3% 10.4% 9.9% 11.8% 10.6% 6.5% 2.8%
Kyle Meyhoefer 1.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 1.9% 1.9% 3.5% 4.3% 5.0% 9.0% 14.2% 24.4% 29.9%
Connor Teague 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 1.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 3.5% 6.1% 7.3% 11.3% 22.0% 39.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.