← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University2.54+3.27vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.51+4.86vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.74+3.40vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.74+2.46vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University1.77+1.43vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami2.66-1.86vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University2.35-2.44vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University2.38-3.29vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University0.89-0.05vs Predicted
-
10University of Kansas0.80-0.80vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University0.07+0.06vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University1.11-3.71vs Predicted
-
13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-1.36vs Predicted
-
14Rollins College-0.51-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.27North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
-
6.86University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
-
6.4Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
-
6.46Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
-
6.43Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
-
4.14University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
-
4.56Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
-
4.71Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
-
8.95Jacksonville University0.890.0%1st Place
-
9.2University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
-
11.06Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
-
8.29Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
-
11.64Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
-
12.02Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 17.9% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.7% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.3% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Beretta | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 23.3% | 18.3% |
| Daniel Hodges | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 24.4% | 29.9% |
| Connor Teague | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 22.0% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.