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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.97+3.34vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.73+2.78vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+2.07vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.17+1.73vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37+3.11vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.48+3.88vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+1.77vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.81-1.25vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.78-2.17vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.12-4.16vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.71-3.98vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.08-6.23vs Predicted
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14University of Kansas-1.25-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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4.78Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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6.07University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.73North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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9.11Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.88Northwestern University-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.77Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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7.75Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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7.83Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
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6.84Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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8.02Jacksonville University0.710.0%1st Place
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6.77Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Kansas-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 15.3% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 22.1% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Bailey | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 6.0% |
| Maxime Visa | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 25.2% | 20.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 10.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Luke Hayes | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Aden Anderson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Asher Green | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Sydney VanMeerhaeghe | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 16.7% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.