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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.97+3.32vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.73+2.83vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+0.63vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.37+5.00vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37+1.17vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.78+1.89vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.08-0.43vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.17-1.46vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.12-2.19vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-0.04vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.81-3.29vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.71-4.00vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.48-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of Kansas-1.25-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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4.83Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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9.0Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.17University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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7.89Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.57Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.54North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.81Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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9.96Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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7.71Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.0Jacksonville University0.710.0%1st Place
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11.06Northwestern University-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Kansas-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 15.7% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 13.3% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 21.7% | 20.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 5.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Luke Hayes | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Asher Green | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Harrison Bailey | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Griffin Richardson | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 9.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Aden Anderson | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Maxime Visa | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 25.6% | 21.3% |
| Sydney VanMeerhaeghe | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 15.8% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.