← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Joey Meagher 15.7% 16.5% 15.8% 11.3% 10.6% 8.2% 6.8% 4.7% 4.8% 3.0% 1.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Cronin 13.3% 12.1% 13.7% 12.5% 10.3% 10.0% 8.4% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Aidan Dennis 21.7% 20.1% 14.1% 12.2% 9.1% 9.9% 4.8% 3.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 2.3% 3.5% 3.8% 5.4% 4.3% 5.5% 6.9% 7.8% 8.0% 9.9% 12.1% 13.4% 12.1% 5.0%
Humberto Porrata 7.7% 8.0% 9.0% 10.7% 9.8% 8.6% 10.3% 9.8% 7.5% 7.6% 5.2% 3.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Luke Hayes 5.0% 3.9% 5.0% 6.3% 7.2% 7.8% 7.6% 8.5% 10.8% 10.1% 10.4% 9.1% 6.4% 1.9%
Asher Green 7.7% 8.2% 7.0% 7.7% 9.2% 9.1% 9.0% 8.8% 10.1% 9.5% 6.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
Harrison Bailey 7.0% 8.5% 9.1% 7.7% 8.9% 8.8% 10.1% 7.7% 8.7% 6.8% 8.0% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7%
Griffin Richardson 6.7% 5.9% 6.6% 9.1% 8.0% 8.5% 11.5% 10.6% 8.0% 9.9% 7.1% 4.6% 2.9% 0.6%
Cole Woerner 2.3% 1.8% 2.7% 2.2% 3.5% 4.8% 4.9% 6.3% 7.3% 9.6% 11.1% 16.6% 17.4% 9.5%
Stefano Palamara 4.3% 5.3% 5.5% 6.8% 8.3% 6.3% 7.5% 10.2% 9.7% 9.9% 9.6% 9.6% 5.7% 1.3%
Aden Anderson 4.1% 4.1% 5.3% 5.8% 7.7% 7.1% 7.8% 9.1% 10.3% 9.9% 10.0% 8.6% 7.4% 2.8%
Maxime Visa 1.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.1% 2.6% 3.9% 2.6% 3.5% 4.7% 6.6% 8.9% 14.3% 25.6% 21.3%
Sydney VanMeerhaeghe 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 6.7% 7.2% 15.8% 55.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.