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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.97+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+3.83vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.73+1.96vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.27-0.32vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.37+4.08vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08+0.99vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+2.56vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.78-0.30vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.12-2.20vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.81-2.18vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.71-2.93vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.48-0.81vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.17-6.50vs Predicted
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14University of Kansas-1.25-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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5.83University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.96Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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9.08Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.99Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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9.56Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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7.7Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.8Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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7.82Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.07Jacksonville University0.710.0%1st Place
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11.19Northwestern University-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.5North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Kansas-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 15.4% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Peter Cronin | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 21.5% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 5.4% |
| Asher Green | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 8.1% |
| Luke Hayes | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Aden Anderson | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Maxime Visa | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 16.4% | 24.5% | 22.1% |
| Harrison Bailey | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Sydney VanMeerhaeghe | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 16.8% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.