Race 4B

eckerd

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aidan Dennis 22.0% 17.9% 16.2% 12.9% 10.2% 7.4% 6.7% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Hayes 4.3% 5.3% 5.6% 7.4% 6.2% 7.8% 8.7% 10.0% 10.3% 13.0% 11.1% 9.8% 0.5%
Asher Green 5.4% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 9.0% 9.0% 8.9% 12.2% 10.1% 9.2% 8.6% 3.9% 0.3%
Griffin Richardson 7.1% 6.6% 7.1% 9.0% 9.6% 9.2% 10.5% 9.3% 9.7% 9.6% 7.4% 4.8% 0.1%
Humberto Porrata 9.4% 10.2% 10.3% 9.7% 9.4% 9.3% 9.7% 10.9% 7.0% 6.7% 4.9% 2.5% 0.0%
Aden Anderson 4.4% 5.5% 5.2% 5.8% 7.0% 7.7% 8.5% 8.8% 12.3% 11.0% 12.1% 10.8% 0.9%
Peter Cronin 13.2% 12.5% 10.9% 12.4% 11.9% 10.4% 7.8% 7.7% 7.2% 3.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Joey Meagher 15.9% 17.0% 13.7% 11.5% 11.1% 10.4% 8.9% 5.2% 2.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 3.4% 4.0% 4.1% 3.5% 4.0% 6.4% 7.1% 6.8% 9.7% 12.4% 16.2% 20.7% 1.7%
Harrison Bailey 7.9% 7.4% 8.0% 8.7% 10.3% 9.9% 8.4% 9.5% 9.8% 8.9% 6.5% 4.4% 0.3%
Stefano Palamara 4.9% 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 7.6% 7.6% 8.5% 11.0% 10.9% 11.9% 9.7% 7.2% 0.8%
Cole Woerner 1.9% 2.0% 2.9% 3.0% 3.4% 4.8% 6.1% 5.2% 7.8% 10.3% 18.4% 30.9% 3.3%
Robert Mikes 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 3.4% 92.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.