Race 5B

eckerd

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aidan Dennis 21.7% 17.9% 15.9% 13.8% 11.0% 6.8% 5.0% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Joey Meagher 15.3% 16.6% 14.2% 12.4% 11.1% 10.5% 7.2% 5.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Cronin 10.9% 12.8% 14.8% 10.0% 10.3% 11.5% 9.7% 7.5% 6.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Asher Green 6.4% 6.3% 7.1% 9.6% 8.2% 9.2% 9.6% 11.2% 9.9% 9.2% 7.9% 5.2% 0.2%
Harrison Bailey 8.0% 7.6% 8.9% 9.1% 9.4% 8.0% 10.0% 9.7% 9.4% 9.1% 6.4% 4.2% 0.2%
Griffin Richardson 7.0% 8.4% 6.6% 9.5% 9.0% 9.4% 9.7% 9.5% 10.1% 7.9% 7.8% 5.0% 0.1%
Aden Anderson 6.0% 4.2% 6.4% 5.8% 5.5% 7.2% 8.8% 9.2% 10.6% 11.7% 13.5% 10.4% 0.7%
Humberto Porrata 8.5% 9.6% 9.5% 9.1% 9.8% 10.8% 12.0% 9.7% 7.5% 6.8% 3.9% 2.8% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 3.3% 3.2% 4.3% 4.2% 5.9% 3.8% 6.4% 9.0% 10.3% 10.7% 16.3% 20.9% 1.7%
Luke Hayes 5.8% 5.8% 4.6% 6.8% 6.5% 9.0% 8.7% 8.9% 11.2% 11.0% 11.4% 9.7% 0.6%
Cole Woerner 2.2% 2.1% 3.3% 3.7% 4.6% 5.3% 4.9% 6.6% 9.1% 11.7% 15.0% 28.4% 3.1%
Stefano Palamara 4.7% 5.3% 4.3% 5.9% 8.6% 8.3% 7.8% 9.2% 9.9% 12.9% 13.2% 9.1% 0.8%
Robert Mikes 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 3.5% 92.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.