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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.13+2.10vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75-0.70vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62-0.12vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.68+0.83vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.37-0.66vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-1.45vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Roger Williams University1.130.2%1st Place
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2.83Boston University1.360.2%1st Place
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2.3University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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3.88Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.83McGill University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.34Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cotoia | 18.5% | 21.4% | 23.0% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 22.4% | 24.8% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 36.3% | 25.4% | 20.3% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 10.7% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 21.6% | 19.2% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Liam Parnell | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 22.0% | 28.7% | 14.8% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 9.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 22.8% | 23.5% | 12.6% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.