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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+7.17vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+7.29vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+2.72vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.35+5.27vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18+1.07vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+4.24vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75+0.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.28+1.48vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.56+0.62vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.59vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.91-4.29vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.22-3.72vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.20-4.32vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.64vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-5.10vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.38-7.78vs Predicted
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181.42-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Yale University2.927.2%1st Place
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9.29Roger Williams University2.404.7%1st Place
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5.72Stanford University3.3010.8%1st Place
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9.27Tulane University2.355.7%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University3.1811.3%1st Place
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10.24Bowdoin College2.384.5%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.759.0%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Naval Academy2.285.0%1st Place
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9.62Boston College2.564.9%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.2%1st Place
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11.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.9%1st Place
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7.71Brown University2.918.0%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University2.225.3%1st Place
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9.68Georgetown University2.204.8%1st Place
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13.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.761.7%1st Place
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10.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.6%1st Place
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9.22College of Charleston2.385.3%1st Place
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13.091.422.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Maks Groom | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 24.7% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Henry Lee | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.