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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+1.27vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+0.81vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.86vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.68+1.82vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.37+0.38vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.13-2.88vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-1.43vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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2.81Boston University1.360.2%1st Place
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3.86Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.82McGill University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.38Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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3.12Roger Williams University1.130.2%1st Place
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5.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 37.0% | 24.6% | 21.7% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 22.4% | 24.3% | 24.3% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Liam Parnell | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 26.9% | 16.3% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 25.4% | 20.9% | 8.8% |
| Peter Cotoia | 17.7% | 22.3% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 21.6% | 25.8% | 11.7% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 18.0% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.