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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.36+1.73vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+1.80vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.13+0.05vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+1.38vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.37+0.25vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.68-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.75-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Boston University1.360.2%1st Place
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3.8Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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3.05Roger Williams University1.130.2%1st Place
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5.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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5.25Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.59McGill University-0.680.0%1st Place
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2.2University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 24.7% | 26.2% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.4% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 24.1% | 18.6% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Peter Cotoia | 19.4% | 19.1% | 23.7% | 20.6% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 29.8% | 27.9% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 21.5% | 24.9% | 26.9% |
| Liam Parnell | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 38.4% |
| Max Sigel | 38.4% | 26.1% | 20.0% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.