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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+0.81vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.77+1.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.74+0.70vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.01+0.74vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-2.05vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12-1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81University of Rhode Island2.240.5%1st Place
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3.58Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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3.7Roger Williams University0.740.1%1st Place
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4.74McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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2.95Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.51Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 51.8% | 26.5% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 11.2% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 23.3% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 9.4% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 21.4% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 1.8% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 23.9% | 34.5% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 17.1% | 27.1% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 6.0% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 23.7% | 30.7% | 4.0% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.