← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.24+0.86vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.31-0.11vs Predicted
-
4McGill University-0.01+0.71vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.77-1.37vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.12-1.45vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University0.74-3.35vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.86University of Rhode Island2.240.5%1st Place
-
2.89Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
-
4.71McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
3.63Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
-
4.55Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
-
3.65Roger Williams University0.740.1%1st Place
-
6.71University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 49.8% | 26.8% | 14.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 18.0% | 27.1% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 22.7% | 34.6% | 6.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 10.9% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 0.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 5.2% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 22.5% | 29.6% | 5.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 10.7% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 1.3% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.