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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+4.92vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.91+5.70vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+4.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+5.51vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40+4.11vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+4.17vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.81vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.30-2.16vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.28vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-0.73vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-2.86vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.35-2.61vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-3.25vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.38-4.79vs Predicted
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151.42-1.90vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.20-6.27vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-6.21vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Harvard University3.1812.0%1st Place
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7.7Brown University2.917.6%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.757.2%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.284.5%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University2.405.4%1st Place
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10.17Bowdoin College2.384.3%1st Place
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11.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.6%1st Place
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5.84Stanford University3.3012.3%1st Place
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13.28St. Mary's College of Maryland1.761.9%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University2.224.9%1st Place
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8.14Yale University2.926.5%1st Place
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9.39Tulane University2.354.5%1st Place
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9.75Boston College2.565.0%1st Place
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9.21College of Charleston2.386.0%1st Place
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13.11.422.1%1st Place
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9.73Georgetown University2.205.2%1st Place
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10.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.7%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Maks Groom | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 24.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Henry Lee | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 22.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.