Race 1A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elizabeth Kaplan 17.5% 16.3% 15.4% 14.4% 12.6% 8.2% 5.9% 5.1% 2.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2%
Mitchell Callahan 24.1% 22.5% 16.0% 13.8% 8.1% 7.3% 4.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Stevens 6.9% 6.0% 6.8% 9.1% 8.3% 8.7% 11.3% 10.9% 12.5% 9.5% 7.9% 2.1%
Adrien Bellanger 4.4% 5.3% 6.9% 8.4% 9.5% 10.0% 9.5% 10.8% 12.2% 10.5% 7.2% 5.3%
Sam Monaghan 6.2% 7.4% 8.1% 7.5% 10.1% 9.2% 10.9% 11.3% 10.1% 9.5% 6.8% 2.9%
Harry Stevenson 1.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 3.8% 5.3% 6.8% 15.9% 55.1%
Nicholas Reeser 17.7% 16.5% 14.6% 12.4% 12.4% 7.9% 8.2% 4.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Christian Cushman 4.0% 6.0% 5.5% 6.8% 6.5% 8.1% 9.7% 9.7% 11.1% 13.7% 11.5% 7.4%
Jonathan Chance 4.8% 5.5% 7.6% 8.7% 10.4% 11.2% 9.1% 11.6% 11.0% 10.5% 7.1% 2.5%
Nalu Ho 2.8% 3.2% 4.1% 3.4% 3.9% 6.7% 6.6% 7.8% 9.4% 13.4% 23.2% 15.5%
Ella Hubbard 5.0% 6.7% 8.2% 7.0% 8.2% 11.0% 11.6% 10.2% 10.1% 11.2% 7.5% 3.3%
Joshua Dillon 5.3% 3.9% 5.6% 6.9% 7.5% 9.1% 9.7% 11.5% 11.3% 11.9% 11.8% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.