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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elizabeth Kaplan 17.0% 16.9% 15.1% 13.2% 13.3% 9.6% 5.4% 4.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Christian Cushman 3.6% 3.6% 5.8% 6.9% 7.1% 8.3% 9.9% 9.0% 11.9% 14.6% 11.7% 7.6%
Joshua Dillon 5.3% 4.7% 5.5% 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 10.4% 10.7% 12.5% 11.8% 11.2% 5.4%
Mitchell Callahan 25.2% 20.2% 17.2% 12.4% 8.9% 7.3% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Reeser 16.9% 17.3% 15.4% 11.4% 12.6% 9.0% 6.3% 4.8% 3.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Jonathan Chance 5.1% 6.6% 6.8% 8.2% 7.5% 10.4% 9.6% 11.1% 12.1% 10.2% 9.0% 3.4%
Ella Hubbard 6.6% 7.1% 7.5% 8.5% 9.9% 10.3% 9.4% 11.0% 9.8% 9.1% 7.5% 3.3%
Nalu Ho 2.5% 4.2% 3.0% 4.2% 5.2% 5.3% 6.4% 10.0% 8.4% 13.0% 21.0% 16.8%
Benjamin Stevens 5.1% 6.7% 8.1% 10.4% 9.0% 11.6% 12.1% 9.5% 10.4% 8.9% 6.6% 1.6%
Sam Monaghan 7.3% 6.0% 7.8% 8.2% 9.7% 8.6% 13.4% 10.8% 10.4% 8.5% 6.7% 2.6%
Adrien Bellanger 4.5% 5.3% 6.4% 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 9.7% 12.0% 13.1% 10.8% 10.0% 3.8%
Harry Stevenson 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 4.4% 8.3% 15.0% 55.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.