Race 3A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mitchell Callahan 24.8% 18.9% 18.3% 13.1% 10.0% 6.5% 3.6% 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Christian Cushman 3.2% 4.6% 4.9% 8.1% 8.2% 7.6% 9.1% 11.1% 11.7% 11.9% 12.6% 7.0%
Ella Hubbard 6.5% 5.8% 6.7% 8.1% 9.2% 10.8% 10.3% 10.5% 11.7% 11.0% 6.6% 2.8%
Sam Monaghan 5.2% 7.2% 8.9% 8.7% 9.8% 9.8% 11.4% 11.5% 8.9% 9.3% 6.4% 2.9%
Joshua Dillon 4.0% 5.8% 6.4% 6.7% 9.1% 7.7% 8.7% 10.1% 10.9% 11.4% 12.9% 6.3%
Adrien Bellanger 5.4% 6.5% 6.9% 6.9% 7.0% 8.8% 10.8% 11.7% 12.1% 11.2% 8.9% 3.8%
Elizabeth Kaplan 19.4% 18.2% 14.3% 14.1% 9.4% 8.1% 7.1% 4.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Harry Stevenson 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 3.7% 3.2% 5.6% 7.7% 14.3% 54.2%
Nalu Ho 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 3.7% 5.1% 7.3% 8.5% 9.1% 10.2% 12.5% 20.8% 15.3%
Nicholas Reeser 16.6% 17.0% 16.3% 13.6% 10.3% 8.8% 8.0% 4.6% 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 6.0% 6.6% 6.3% 7.6% 10.4% 10.6% 9.9% 10.3% 11.5% 10.6% 7.1% 3.1%
Jonathan Chance 5.5% 5.7% 6.9% 7.4% 8.9% 11.0% 8.9% 10.8% 10.9% 10.5% 9.1% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.