Race 4A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elizabeth Kaplan 17.2% 15.0% 16.1% 14.4% 13.5% 9.2% 5.5% 4.4% 2.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Reeser 16.2% 16.7% 14.5% 13.4% 11.1% 10.0% 8.4% 4.9% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Jonathan Chance 6.1% 5.4% 7.3% 7.8% 6.6% 9.8% 9.6% 11.7% 13.7% 10.5% 7.9% 3.6%
Joshua Dillon 3.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.1% 10.1% 8.6% 9.8% 10.8% 11.8% 12.0% 11.3% 5.6%
Mitchell Callahan 25.0% 21.1% 15.9% 12.3% 10.1% 5.8% 3.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Christian Cushman 4.3% 4.8% 6.4% 5.8% 4.8% 8.3% 10.6% 10.5% 10.4% 13.4% 14.2% 6.5%
Benjamin Stevens 6.5% 7.7% 7.7% 8.2% 11.2% 8.9% 10.1% 10.7% 10.2% 9.4% 6.0% 3.4%
Nalu Ho 3.1% 3.5% 3.3% 4.8% 4.5% 5.6% 6.5% 7.7% 10.9% 12.2% 21.1% 16.8%
Sam Monaghan 5.8% 6.4% 9.3% 10.3% 8.4% 12.1% 11.3% 11.8% 9.1% 8.3% 5.3% 1.9%
Ella Hubbard 6.6% 7.6% 6.1% 8.3% 9.3% 9.8% 12.2% 9.8% 9.7% 10.1% 7.6% 2.9%
Adrien Bellanger 4.9% 4.6% 7.2% 7.3% 7.4% 9.6% 10.5% 10.5% 11.6% 12.7% 9.4% 4.3%
Harry Stevenson 0.8% 2.0% 1.0% 1.3% 3.0% 2.3% 1.6% 3.9% 5.3% 7.8% 16.0% 55.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.