Race 5A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mitchell Callahan 24.0% 21.4% 15.3% 13.0% 10.0% 8.4% 3.8% 1.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jonathan Chance 4.8% 5.8% 7.1% 9.3% 8.8% 8.1% 9.8% 13.3% 11.4% 9.4% 8.9% 3.3%
Nicholas Reeser 18.2% 14.5% 14.1% 12.1% 13.4% 10.2% 8.5% 3.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Elizabeth Kaplan 17.1% 18.5% 14.8% 14.5% 11.1% 8.6% 7.2% 4.4% 1.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Christian Cushman 3.1% 5.5% 5.3% 6.8% 6.9% 7.9% 9.0% 10.5% 10.8% 12.7% 13.8% 7.7%
Ella Hubbard 5.9% 6.5% 7.9% 7.1% 9.6% 9.1% 12.2% 10.1% 11.3% 9.8% 7.2% 3.3%
Adrien Bellanger 6.2% 5.6% 7.5% 8.0% 8.4% 9.2% 10.6% 9.5% 11.1% 12.0% 8.2% 3.7%
Sam Monaghan 7.2% 7.7% 8.8% 6.9% 8.6% 11.1% 9.9% 10.7% 10.7% 9.1% 6.1% 3.2%
Benjamin Stevens 5.6% 5.5% 9.2% 9.7% 9.7% 11.8% 10.3% 10.1% 9.5% 10.0% 6.6% 2.0%
Harry Stevenson 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 4.4% 4.9% 8.6% 15.4% 53.3%
Joshua Dillon 4.2% 4.5% 5.2% 7.0% 7.7% 7.6% 9.3% 11.9% 13.4% 10.5% 12.4% 6.3%
Nalu Ho 2.7% 2.8% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 5.7% 6.9% 9.4% 10.7% 13.8% 20.5% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.