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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+8.46vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+7.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.22+6.59vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+7.87vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+3.15vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.05vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75+0.32vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.30vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38+1.21vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.91-2.24vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.28-1.09vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-0.96vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.18-6.79vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.56-4.20vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.35-5.64vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.42-3.84vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.40-7.79vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.30-11.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.46Roger Williams University2.405.1%1st Place
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9.55College of Charleston2.384.9%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.224.5%1st Place
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11.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.9%1st Place
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8.15Yale University2.926.6%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.4%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College2.758.8%1st Place
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13.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.761.8%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College2.384.2%1st Place
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7.76Brown University2.918.2%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Naval Academy2.284.8%1st Place
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11.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.132.9%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University3.1811.9%1st Place
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9.8Boston College2.565.0%1st Place
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9.36Tulane University2.354.7%1st Place
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12.16University of Rhode Island1.422.4%1st Place
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9.21Georgetown University2.405.2%1st Place
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6.04Stanford University3.3011.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Maks Groom | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 27.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.