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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elizabeth Kaplan 17.0% 16.0% 14.6% 15.0% 13.8% 8.5% 5.6% 4.8% 2.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Ella Hubbard 5.4% 6.0% 7.4% 9.0% 9.7% 11.3% 8.8% 11.8% 11.5% 9.4% 6.8% 2.9%
Sam Monaghan 7.1% 7.0% 6.7% 8.7% 9.5% 10.0% 11.9% 11.0% 9.9% 10.2% 5.7% 2.3%
Mitchell Callahan 24.5% 22.5% 16.0% 12.8% 8.8% 7.1% 3.4% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Stevens 5.5% 7.3% 7.1% 7.1% 9.1% 11.4% 10.4% 11.4% 10.1% 9.5% 7.6% 3.5%
Christian Cushman 4.6% 3.9% 6.0% 6.9% 5.5% 7.6% 10.8% 9.5% 12.0% 13.2% 13.8% 6.2%
Nicholas Reeser 17.2% 16.5% 15.5% 12.5% 10.3% 9.9% 6.7% 5.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Jonathan Chance 6.0% 6.8% 7.8% 7.5% 8.7% 8.7% 10.2% 10.1% 11.0% 10.5% 8.5% 4.2%
Joshua Dillon 3.4% 4.4% 6.8% 7.6% 9.3% 9.4% 10.7% 11.0% 11.3% 11.0% 10.8% 4.3%
Adrien Bellanger 5.8% 6.0% 7.1% 8.0% 7.8% 8.8% 11.5% 11.0% 11.3% 9.8% 9.3% 3.6%
Nalu Ho 2.8% 2.1% 3.3% 3.6% 5.2% 5.1% 6.7% 8.3% 10.5% 13.4% 21.5% 17.5%
Harry Stevenson 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 2.3% 2.2% 3.3% 2.8% 5.3% 9.2% 14.4% 55.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.