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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+2.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.62+4.55vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.68+3.36vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03-0.79vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.65+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.27+1.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.95vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.55-1.31vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37-1.89vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51-3.23vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.24vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.11-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Bowdoin College2.700.2%1st Place
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6.55Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.36Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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3.21Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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4.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.2%1st Place
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6.69Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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7.11Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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8.76Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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10.46Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 17.0% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Sam Monaghan | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 24.5% | 22.5% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 6.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 17.2% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 4.3% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 21.5% | 17.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.