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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mitchell Callahan 23.2% 21.8% 17.4% 12.8% 9.6% 6.1% 4.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Reeser 16.0% 16.3% 14.5% 14.3% 11.4% 9.4% 7.5% 5.4% 2.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Elizabeth Kaplan 18.3% 17.5% 15.7% 10.6% 12.5% 11.0% 6.6% 4.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Jonathan Chance 4.4% 6.2% 6.5% 8.3% 9.1% 9.9% 10.6% 11.5% 11.2% 8.6% 8.9% 4.8%
Ella Hubbard 6.0% 6.1% 8.4% 8.1% 8.9% 9.6% 10.0% 11.8% 9.2% 10.5% 7.9% 3.5%
Harry Stevenson 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 2.3% 2.7% 3.4% 4.2% 5.3% 6.5% 16.2% 54.9%
Adrien Bellanger 5.6% 6.6% 6.5% 8.5% 9.1% 8.2% 10.3% 10.8% 11.6% 10.4% 8.4% 4.0%
Christian Cushman 5.5% 4.5% 5.2% 7.4% 5.4% 8.7% 9.9% 9.1% 10.9% 14.7% 11.5% 7.2%
Sam Monaghan 6.3% 5.8% 8.6% 10.0% 10.5% 10.3% 11.1% 10.0% 11.5% 7.8% 6.3% 1.8%
Joshua Dillon 5.2% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 8.2% 7.8% 9.1% 12.0% 12.1% 12.4% 11.3% 4.4%
Nalu Ho 2.5% 2.7% 2.4% 3.5% 4.9% 5.3% 7.3% 7.7% 10.5% 14.5% 22.1% 16.6%
Benjamin Stevens 5.8% 6.1% 8.2% 8.7% 8.1% 11.0% 9.7% 11.1% 11.0% 10.8% 6.8% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.