Race 8A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jonathan Chance 5.1% 6.4% 6.4% 8.0% 9.0% 8.5% 10.5% 11.6% 11.4% 11.8% 7.0% 4.3%
Elizabeth Kaplan 15.6% 18.9% 15.3% 13.8% 11.2% 9.6% 7.4% 3.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Nicholas Reeser 16.3% 16.1% 15.8% 12.9% 11.5% 10.6% 7.9% 4.1% 2.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Mitchell Callahan 25.3% 20.2% 16.5% 14.0% 9.0% 6.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Sam Monaghan 5.5% 6.6% 8.5% 9.6% 9.1% 10.4% 11.1% 10.0% 9.3% 9.5% 7.5% 2.9%
Christian Cushman 4.3% 4.3% 5.3% 6.2% 6.4% 8.7% 10.5% 9.4% 11.8% 13.3% 12.6% 7.2%
Adrien Bellanger 6.0% 6.5% 7.2% 8.3% 9.4% 7.7% 9.8% 11.0% 11.5% 9.9% 9.0% 3.7%
Ella Hubbard 7.4% 7.0% 5.7% 8.9% 9.7% 9.7% 9.9% 11.1% 10.9% 9.7% 6.5% 3.5%
Harry Stevenson 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 4.6% 6.1% 8.6% 16.0% 52.1%
Joshua Dillon 5.4% 4.8% 6.2% 6.5% 8.4% 8.5% 9.5% 11.1% 11.6% 10.3% 11.9% 5.8%
Benjamin Stevens 5.5% 4.6% 9.6% 7.2% 9.0% 10.9% 10.6% 11.2% 10.6% 10.6% 6.9% 3.3%
Nalu Ho 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 2.8% 4.7% 6.4% 5.9% 9.5% 10.6% 13.1% 21.5% 16.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.