Race 1B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Wallace 13.9% 11.6% 12.2% 14.9% 14.7% 8.8% 8.6% 6.4% 4.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Ethan Danielson 12.3% 13.6% 12.2% 11.7% 12.3% 9.8% 10.9% 7.2% 6.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Charlie Apolinsky 4.8% 3.3% 5.5% 5.9% 6.1% 7.9% 8.8% 10.8% 14.0% 15.2% 13.5% 4.2%
Christine Reimer 8.0% 8.9% 11.8% 10.3% 11.9% 11.6% 9.7% 11.3% 7.0% 5.8% 3.3% 0.4%
Adrian Winkelman 21.4% 18.7% 14.0% 11.7% 10.9% 9.5% 5.2% 4.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Ashley Arruda 4.6% 7.4% 5.8% 6.7% 5.6% 10.3% 9.3% 11.8% 13.6% 13.2% 9.4% 2.3%
Peter McGonagle 14.5% 12.9% 13.3% 12.3% 11.3% 9.5% 10.2% 7.7% 4.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Griffen Horne 2.7% 3.8% 3.5% 3.6% 4.6% 5.4% 8.0% 8.9% 10.7% 15.3% 22.8% 10.7%
Marina Garrido 8.6% 10.5% 11.9% 14.0% 9.6% 11.0% 11.3% 9.5% 8.0% 3.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Sandra Yale 5.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.4% 7.4% 7.7% 9.4% 10.9% 13.2% 14.7% 11.6% 4.5%
Gray Dinsel 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 3.3% 6.3% 12.1% 68.7%
Aidan Pesce 3.1% 3.8% 3.4% 3.0% 4.8% 7.0% 6.6% 9.4% 12.5% 16.3% 21.8% 8.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.