Race 2B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christine Reimer 10.5% 7.5% 9.2% 12.2% 11.3% 10.3% 11.5% 9.4% 8.4% 6.3% 2.7% 0.7%
Adrian Winkelman 19.2% 19.0% 17.0% 13.4% 8.5% 9.4% 6.8% 2.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Matthew Wallace 15.0% 13.2% 12.9% 13.2% 12.5% 10.6% 9.0% 6.2% 4.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Griffen Horne 2.1% 2.9% 3.0% 3.9% 4.7% 5.8% 7.5% 8.5% 11.7% 16.5% 22.7% 10.7%
Ethan Danielson 12.2% 13.3% 13.9% 11.8% 11.1% 9.5% 8.7% 8.3% 5.7% 3.3% 2.1% 0.1%
Sandra Yale 4.1% 4.4% 6.3% 5.7% 4.7% 8.4% 8.6% 12.2% 13.7% 14.5% 12.8% 4.6%
Aidan Pesce 3.0% 3.9% 4.2% 4.4% 5.6% 5.2% 7.0% 9.2% 12.6% 15.5% 19.8% 9.6%
Marina Garrido 12.2% 9.8% 10.2% 10.0% 10.6% 10.5% 9.5% 10.9% 7.6% 5.1% 3.0% 0.6%
Ashley Arruda 4.5% 6.6% 5.8% 7.3% 9.7% 10.0% 10.9% 11.4% 12.5% 11.2% 8.9% 1.2%
Charlie Apolinsky 4.2% 4.7% 5.4% 4.9% 6.6% 8.0% 8.7% 11.6% 13.3% 14.5% 13.3% 4.8%
Peter McGonagle 12.4% 13.7% 11.6% 12.3% 13.0% 11.1% 9.0% 7.2% 5.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Gray Dinsel 0.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.9% 1.7% 1.2% 2.8% 2.2% 2.5% 6.2% 12.9% 67.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.