Race 3B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Wallace 13.4% 14.0% 12.1% 12.5% 13.0% 10.3% 9.1% 6.8% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 18.5% 20.9% 14.5% 12.6% 10.8% 9.2% 6.8% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Christine Reimer 10.5% 8.4% 9.8% 10.4% 11.2% 10.6% 11.7% 10.6% 8.3% 5.5% 2.5% 0.5%
Ethan Danielson 11.4% 14.4% 15.0% 12.6% 10.1% 9.4% 9.2% 8.2% 5.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Aidan Pesce 2.3% 3.6% 3.5% 4.4% 4.6% 6.7% 8.1% 9.0% 11.0% 15.1% 21.2% 10.5%
Peter McGonagle 14.8% 11.9% 11.3% 13.0% 11.3% 12.4% 7.9% 7.6% 6.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Ashley Arruda 6.2% 5.4% 6.2% 7.7% 8.2% 8.8% 10.1% 11.1% 12.7% 12.5% 8.1% 3.0%
Sandra Yale 5.5% 4.9% 5.4% 6.1% 6.6% 7.2% 8.7% 9.8% 14.8% 15.3% 11.0% 4.7%
Marina Garrido 9.2% 9.8% 12.9% 10.9% 12.4% 10.8% 9.8% 10.1% 6.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.2%
Griffen Horne 3.4% 3.1% 3.3% 3.8% 3.9% 5.7% 7.2% 8.5% 12.9% 15.8% 22.4% 10.0%
Charlie Apolinsky 4.1% 2.8% 5.4% 4.9% 7.0% 7.0% 9.3% 12.1% 12.4% 15.6% 13.7% 5.7%
Gray Dinsel 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 6.2% 15.6% 65.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.