Race 4B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Wallace 14.0% 13.4% 12.2% 12.6% 13.9% 9.3% 9.3% 6.6% 4.8% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Ethan Danielson 12.5% 14.2% 12.9% 12.6% 9.7% 11.0% 9.2% 8.6% 4.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Charlie Apolinsky 5.1% 3.2% 6.2% 5.6% 5.8% 6.6% 8.3% 10.5% 15.9% 15.5% 12.5% 4.8%
Christine Reimer 7.8% 10.9% 10.0% 11.8% 11.2% 10.3% 9.6% 9.6% 9.3% 6.4% 2.6% 0.5%
Adrian Winkelman 20.6% 19.7% 14.2% 12.0% 10.3% 9.4% 4.7% 5.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 9.8% 9.2% 11.4% 9.9% 10.1% 13.0% 10.5% 9.5% 8.0% 5.9% 2.5% 0.2%
Aidan Pesce 3.6% 3.6% 3.2% 4.3% 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 9.0% 11.1% 14.7% 22.4% 7.6%
Sandra Yale 4.3% 5.2% 6.3% 6.8% 6.4% 6.9% 10.3% 10.6% 12.2% 15.1% 10.9% 5.0%
Ashley Arruda 5.1% 5.1% 6.4% 7.5% 9.0% 9.4% 10.7% 13.0% 12.0% 11.5% 8.1% 2.2%
Peter McGonagle 13.9% 12.1% 13.8% 12.2% 11.5% 11.3% 9.9% 6.9% 3.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Griffen Horne 3.0% 2.1% 2.7% 3.9% 5.1% 4.5% 7.2% 8.3% 12.6% 14.9% 23.9% 11.8%
Gray Dinsel 0.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 2.9% 2.4% 3.1% 5.7% 13.1% 67.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.