Race 5B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ethan Danielson 12.9% 11.6% 11.7% 13.2% 13.1% 10.3% 9.3% 7.9% 5.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Peter McGonagle 12.7% 15.2% 12.8% 12.3% 10.3% 10.4% 10.2% 6.9% 5.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 20.9% 17.7% 16.0% 13.0% 11.1% 9.0% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Christine Reimer 8.2% 10.3% 10.8% 11.1% 11.6% 10.4% 10.2% 9.4% 8.8% 6.8% 1.9% 0.5%
Matthew Wallace 13.5% 15.0% 14.5% 12.6% 10.1% 9.8% 9.0% 5.7% 5.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 10.0% 9.7% 9.3% 11.1% 11.7% 10.9% 11.4% 10.2% 6.8% 5.6% 2.8% 0.5%
Ashley Arruda 5.7% 5.6% 7.7% 6.8% 7.8% 9.3% 9.2% 11.4% 12.9% 11.6% 8.6% 3.4%
Charlie Apolinsky 5.3% 3.9% 5.8% 5.3% 6.8% 7.8% 8.2% 11.3% 13.3% 15.1% 11.6% 5.6%
Griffen Horne 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 6.8% 8.2% 9.7% 12.4% 16.5% 22.3% 8.0%
Sandra Yale 4.9% 4.6% 5.5% 5.2% 6.4% 8.3% 9.5% 10.3% 15.9% 12.3% 13.1% 4.0%
Aidan Pesce 3.0% 2.6% 2.3% 4.8% 5.6% 5.6% 6.4% 11.0% 9.5% 16.2% 22.4% 10.6%
Gray Dinsel 0.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.6% 2.5% 2.8% 5.9% 13.2% 67.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.