← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.25+4.59vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.27+3.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.46+4.43vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.00-0.30vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University0.67+1.95vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.57-1.33vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.66-2.58vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.01+0.46vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-4.57vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University0.09-1.78vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College0.42-3.29vs Predicted
-
12Bates College-1.38-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.59Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.46Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
-
7.43University of Vermont0.460.0%1st Place
-
3.7Northeastern University2.000.2%1st Place
-
6.95Northeastern University0.670.1%1st Place
-
4.67Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.42Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
-
8.46Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
-
4.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
-
8.22Harvard University0.090.0%1st Place
-
7.71Bowdoin College0.420.0%1st Place
-
10.96Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Reimer | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Sandra Yale | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 4.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 18.9% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 14.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 15.7% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Griffen Horne | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 21.8% | 11.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 13.1% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Pesce | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 9.1% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 5.0% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 14.3% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.