Race 7B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adrian Winkelman 19.9% 17.3% 16.1% 13.8% 11.0% 7.2% 7.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter McGonagle 12.8% 14.4% 12.3% 12.0% 11.9% 9.9% 11.1% 6.3% 5.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Aidan Pesce 3.7% 3.1% 3.1% 4.3% 5.6% 5.8% 6.6% 9.0% 12.2% 17.5% 20.6% 8.5%
Christine Reimer 7.6% 10.7% 10.9% 10.0% 12.5% 10.1% 9.8% 10.5% 8.2% 6.2% 2.9% 0.6%
Marina Garrido 9.6% 10.0% 10.3% 12.3% 9.5% 12.1% 9.7% 9.4% 7.6% 5.9% 3.0% 0.6%
Matthew Wallace 14.3% 14.0% 12.9% 12.9% 11.0% 11.6% 8.8% 6.8% 4.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Ethan Danielson 13.6% 13.1% 14.1% 10.5% 11.4% 10.2% 9.1% 8.3% 4.8% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Sandra Yale 4.6% 5.3% 5.3% 6.4% 6.1% 7.5% 10.0% 11.4% 13.3% 14.1% 10.9% 5.1%
Ashley Arruda 5.5% 4.6% 6.5% 7.3% 9.3% 10.9% 9.7% 12.2% 11.9% 12.3% 7.8% 2.0%
Charlie Apolinsky 5.2% 4.3% 4.9% 5.2% 6.5% 7.5% 9.7% 10.4% 14.3% 14.3% 12.8% 4.9%
Griffen Horne 2.6% 2.1% 2.9% 4.6% 4.3% 5.5% 6.6% 8.6% 12.6% 14.5% 24.3% 11.4%
Gray Dinsel 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 1.9% 3.3% 3.1% 5.3% 14.1% 66.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.