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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+8.41vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+7.68vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+3.09vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+3.45vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.38+4.35vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92+2.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.79vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+2.15vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.30-3.15vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42+2.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.21vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.18vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.91-5.05vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.32vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-3.94vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.35-6.61vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.40-7.80vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.22-8.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41Roger Williams University2.405.0%1st Place
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9.68Boston College2.565.1%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University3.1810.9%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.758.5%1st Place
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9.35College of Charleston2.386.2%1st Place
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8.28Yale University2.927.4%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Naval Academy2.285.2%1st Place
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10.15Bowdoin College2.384.3%1st Place
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5.85Stanford University3.3011.5%1st Place
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12.27University of Rhode Island1.422.8%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.323.8%1st Place
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12.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.1%1st Place
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7.95Brown University2.916.7%1st Place
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13.68St. Mary's College of Maryland1.761.9%1st Place
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11.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.4%1st Place
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9.39Tulane University2.355.1%1st Place
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9.2Georgetown University2.405.7%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University2.224.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 15.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Maks Groom | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 14.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 27.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.