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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marina Garrido 10.1% 8.8% 9.7% 10.1% 11.2% 11.8% 12.0% 9.8% 8.5% 4.9% 2.7% 0.4%
Sandra Yale 4.2% 3.4% 4.8% 7.3% 6.9% 8.9% 7.5% 11.4% 12.7% 15.5% 13.2% 4.2%
Matthew Wallace 15.3% 11.9% 13.6% 13.0% 12.6% 9.7% 9.2% 7.2% 5.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Ethan Danielson 11.1% 15.7% 12.8% 13.4% 10.7% 10.1% 8.8% 6.9% 5.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Peter McGonagle 13.2% 14.3% 13.6% 11.4% 10.8% 11.2% 8.5% 6.7% 4.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.0%
Charlie Apolinsky 3.8% 4.5% 5.2% 6.3% 5.3% 6.9% 9.4% 11.9% 12.8% 16.1% 12.3% 5.5%
Aidan Pesce 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.8% 6.1% 7.1% 10.2% 11.3% 15.0% 20.7% 9.2%
Adrian Winkelman 22.3% 17.3% 14.9% 13.5% 9.8% 8.3% 7.2% 2.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Ashley Arruda 4.2% 6.4% 6.6% 6.6% 10.6% 9.1% 11.0% 11.5% 13.1% 11.0% 8.6% 1.3%
Griffen Horne 2.8% 3.9% 3.3% 3.2% 4.5% 5.7% 7.9% 8.1% 11.9% 15.5% 22.7% 10.5%
Christine Reimer 9.0% 9.0% 11.1% 9.7% 11.3% 10.8% 9.2% 10.9% 8.7% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7%
Gray Dinsel 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 3.1% 5.1% 13.1% 67.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.