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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+6.22vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+6.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.22+6.38vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+5.98vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.30+0.86vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.91+1.56vs Predicted
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71.42+6.44vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.04vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.18-2.89vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-0.64vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.20-1.03vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.38-2.59vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.38-2.83vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.28-4.23vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.35-5.62vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-4.46vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-7.26vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Dartmouth College2.758.5%1st Place
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8.25Yale University2.927.1%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University2.225.0%1st Place
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9.98Boston College2.564.9%1st Place
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5.86Stanford University3.3011.7%1st Place
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7.56Brown University2.918.8%1st Place
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13.441.421.6%1st Place
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12.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.3%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University3.1810.9%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University2.405.2%1st Place
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9.97Georgetown University2.204.1%1st Place
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9.41College of Charleston2.385.0%1st Place
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10.17Bowdoin College2.383.8%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Naval Academy2.285.2%1st Place
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9.38Tulane University2.355.1%1st Place
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11.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.052.9%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.8%1st Place
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11.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Henry Lee | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 26.0% |
| Maks Groom | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.