Race 1A

jesuit-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Green 7.3% 9.0% 8.7% 10.3% 9.7% 10.9% 12.3% 13.5% 9.3% 6.3% 2.7%
John Majernik 8.8% 7.7% 10.8% 9.5% 9.1% 12.9% 9.7% 10.6% 10.5% 7.9% 2.5%
Benjamin Honig 12.7% 12.6% 12.7% 11.0% 11.3% 10.4% 11.2% 6.8% 7.3% 3.3% 0.7%
Spencer Barnes 17.3% 16.0% 13.9% 13.8% 11.7% 8.7% 7.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
Lucas Thress 14.8% 13.2% 11.2% 11.2% 10.5% 10.2% 8.7% 8.4% 6.2% 4.6% 1.0%
Will Donovan 8.0% 8.3% 9.2% 9.8% 9.3% 9.9% 11.8% 10.1% 9.6% 9.6% 4.4%
Madeleine Rice 13.0% 12.3% 12.0% 9.8% 12.8% 10.4% 9.4% 8.5% 6.5% 3.9% 1.4%
Lars Osell 8.4% 9.6% 9.8% 10.2% 10.5% 9.4% 9.8% 9.4% 11.0% 8.8% 3.1%
Isabelle Gautier 1.8% 2.0% 2.1% 3.0% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 7.4% 7.7% 13.5% 54.1%
James Owen 4.1% 4.8% 5.0% 5.3% 6.2% 7.4% 8.4% 9.3% 14.2% 21.2% 14.1%
Patrick Modin 3.8% 4.5% 4.6% 6.1% 6.3% 7.2% 7.8% 10.0% 14.6% 19.6% 15.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.