Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Majernik 6.8% 8.0% 10.4% 9.4% 11.0% 11.1% 10.4% 14.3% 9.0% 7.1% 2.5%
Isabelle Gautier 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 2.4% 2.7% 4.3% 4.3% 6.4% 8.3% 15.3% 51.0%
Benjamin Honig 13.0% 12.1% 11.0% 13.7% 11.1% 11.0% 9.6% 8.4% 5.1% 4.0% 1.0%
Thomas Green 7.9% 9.0% 9.4% 8.6% 10.5% 11.6% 12.5% 9.9% 9.8% 7.2% 3.6%
Lars Osell 9.3% 8.7% 8.2% 10.1% 10.2% 9.5% 10.1% 11.3% 10.7% 8.5% 3.4%
Madeleine Rice 10.9% 12.0% 11.0% 12.2% 9.7% 11.6% 9.1% 9.1% 6.8% 5.8% 1.8%
Lucas Thress 14.3% 12.6% 14.9% 10.4% 13.0% 8.9% 8.7% 6.6% 6.7% 3.0% 0.9%
Spencer Barnes 18.3% 18.4% 15.9% 12.8% 9.5% 8.3% 7.7% 5.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2%
James Owen 4.1% 4.3% 4.3% 4.4% 6.7% 6.0% 9.7% 7.4% 14.5% 22.5% 16.1%
Will Donovan 9.1% 9.3% 8.9% 9.3% 9.9% 10.8% 9.5% 10.7% 12.9% 6.4% 3.2%
Patrick Modin 4.4% 3.6% 4.6% 6.7% 5.7% 6.9% 8.4% 10.9% 13.6% 18.9% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.