Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Benjamin Honig 11.9% 13.3% 11.9% 12.4% 12.6% 11.4% 10.2% 7.5% 5.6% 2.2% 1.0%
Spencer Barnes 19.3% 17.2% 13.6% 11.1% 13.3% 10.2% 6.7% 4.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Will Donovan 8.0% 7.3% 8.7% 7.9% 9.7% 10.9% 10.7% 10.6% 12.3% 10.0% 3.9%
Madeleine Rice 10.2% 10.9% 9.2% 12.6% 11.6% 10.3% 10.7% 9.2% 8.9% 4.5% 1.9%
James Owen 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 5.2% 5.8% 7.3% 8.0% 10.2% 14.4% 20.1% 15.7%
Thomas Green 9.1% 8.9% 9.5% 10.3% 9.0% 11.7% 10.9% 9.9% 9.6% 7.6% 3.5%
Lars Osell 9.8% 8.3% 9.3% 10.3% 10.2% 9.4% 11.0% 11.7% 9.2% 7.1% 3.7%
Lucas Thress 13.3% 13.2% 15.5% 11.4% 8.9% 10.5% 9.4% 8.0% 5.1% 3.6% 1.1%
Isabelle Gautier 1.7% 2.3% 2.4% 2.7% 2.0% 3.1% 3.4% 7.2% 8.1% 15.5% 51.6%
Patrick Modin 3.7% 4.6% 4.4% 5.6% 7.1% 6.8% 6.7% 10.3% 14.9% 21.1% 14.8%
John Majernik 9.1% 9.5% 10.6% 10.5% 9.8% 8.4% 12.3% 11.4% 8.8% 7.0% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.