Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lars Osell 6.7% 8.2% 9.9% 8.2% 9.6% 11.3% 12.4% 13.5% 9.8% 7.4% 3.0%
Benjamin Honig 13.5% 13.4% 13.4% 10.9% 12.9% 10.5% 8.6% 7.3% 6.0% 2.8% 0.7%
Thomas Green 8.7% 8.9% 8.4% 9.4% 9.6% 11.0% 11.6% 10.0% 10.6% 8.8% 3.0%
Spencer Barnes 17.3% 15.0% 14.4% 14.1% 12.6% 7.7% 7.7% 5.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
John Majernik 9.5% 9.4% 9.2% 8.5% 9.4% 10.4% 10.6% 11.5% 9.7% 8.8% 3.0%
Madeleine Rice 10.8% 11.8% 11.0% 12.3% 10.5% 10.6% 10.4% 8.4% 6.7% 5.7% 1.8%
Lucas Thress 14.8% 13.6% 13.0% 12.2% 9.8% 11.0% 9.0% 7.1% 5.2% 3.2% 1.1%
Will Donovan 8.8% 8.4% 9.1% 10.2% 10.7% 9.2% 11.2% 8.9% 12.0% 7.5% 4.0%
Isabelle Gautier 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.1% 3.0% 3.4% 7.5% 7.1% 13.7% 54.2%
James Owen 4.1% 5.0% 4.5% 5.3% 7.3% 7.8% 6.9% 10.4% 13.9% 21.1% 13.7%
Patrick Modin 3.9% 4.2% 4.6% 6.4% 5.5% 7.5% 8.2% 9.5% 15.4% 19.7% 15.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.