Race 5A

jesuit-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Madeleine Rice 9.7% 11.1% 11.7% 10.7% 10.9% 12.6% 12.0% 9.2% 6.5% 4.0% 1.6%
Spencer Barnes 19.3% 17.8% 13.8% 11.9% 11.6% 9.5% 6.7% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Benjamin Honig 12.4% 12.1% 11.9% 13.7% 10.5% 10.6% 9.7% 8.9% 6.5% 2.7% 1.0%
Thomas Green 8.4% 7.9% 9.2% 8.8% 11.0% 10.2% 11.8% 11.3% 9.6% 8.2% 3.6%
Lars Osell 8.8% 8.9% 9.4% 9.8% 8.9% 9.0% 11.2% 11.3% 9.6% 9.9% 3.2%
Lucas Thress 12.2% 13.8% 11.7% 12.5% 10.4% 11.3% 9.3% 6.8% 6.4% 4.2% 1.4%
Will Donovan 9.9% 8.0% 10.3% 7.9% 11.1% 10.5% 10.5% 10.2% 10.5% 7.4% 3.7%
John Majernik 9.4% 8.2% 10.8% 11.4% 9.5% 10.2% 9.7% 9.2% 10.8% 7.9% 2.9%
Isabelle Gautier 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 2.4% 4.0% 6.4% 7.8% 14.4% 53.6%
James Owen 4.6% 4.8% 4.5% 4.2% 7.9% 6.3% 8.3% 10.7% 14.5% 20.6% 13.6%
Patrick Modin 3.4% 5.0% 4.5% 6.8% 5.6% 7.4% 6.8% 10.6% 15.1% 19.7% 15.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.