Race 6A

jesuit-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Majernik 6.4% 8.6% 9.8% 8.6% 11.0% 11.5% 9.7% 13.7% 10.2% 7.5% 3.0%
Thomas Green 9.3% 8.4% 10.1% 10.9% 8.0% 10.6% 11.9% 11.4% 9.4% 7.0% 3.0%
James Owen 3.9% 4.1% 4.3% 3.9% 5.4% 6.5% 8.1% 9.4% 15.0% 18.6% 20.8%
Benjamin Honig 12.9% 11.1% 10.1% 14.5% 12.8% 11.6% 8.3% 7.8% 6.3% 3.5% 1.1%
Lars Osell 9.5% 8.5% 8.3% 9.3% 11.4% 7.7% 10.7% 10.6% 10.1% 9.4% 4.5%
Will Donovan 8.5% 8.2% 8.9% 9.2% 10.0% 11.4% 9.8% 10.3% 9.4% 9.0% 5.3%
Madeleine Rice 12.8% 11.6% 14.0% 9.6% 11.7% 9.8% 9.6% 8.1% 5.9% 5.0% 1.9%
Patrick Modin 4.2% 3.3% 4.0% 5.7% 6.9% 7.3% 8.2% 10.3% 14.0% 17.4% 18.7%
Spencer Barnes 17.0% 19.1% 15.2% 10.6% 9.9% 9.2% 8.6% 5.5% 2.8% 1.8% 0.3%
Rebecca Runyan 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 3.8% 3.1% 5.0% 5.6% 6.3% 10.5% 18.1% 40.5%
Lucas Thress 13.6% 14.5% 12.7% 13.9% 9.8% 9.4% 9.5% 6.6% 6.4% 2.7% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.