Race 8A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Will Donovan 6.5% 6.9% 10.7% 9.2% 8.4% 10.1% 12.3% 14.0% 10.5% 7.6% 3.8%
Thomas Green 9.7% 8.3% 10.2% 10.5% 9.8% 10.1% 10.5% 10.0% 11.1% 7.1% 2.7%
Spencer Barnes 16.5% 17.2% 15.2% 10.6% 11.1% 11.6% 6.1% 6.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.3%
Benjamin Honig 12.1% 13.0% 11.2% 12.5% 12.4% 10.8% 9.6% 7.4% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4%
James Owen 4.3% 4.1% 4.3% 5.2% 6.4% 6.7% 8.4% 9.3% 14.0% 18.3% 19.0%
Rebecca Runyan 1.9% 1.9% 2.6% 3.3% 4.6% 3.7% 4.1% 7.5% 9.5% 16.7% 44.2%
John Majernik 10.4% 9.5% 9.1% 10.1% 10.5% 10.5% 10.0% 10.2% 9.4% 6.2% 4.1%
Lucas Thress 13.4% 15.0% 12.5% 11.8% 11.2% 8.9% 9.7% 7.4% 6.0% 3.2% 0.9%
Lars Osell 8.1% 9.2% 7.9% 9.0% 9.4% 11.1% 10.8% 10.9% 9.3% 9.8% 4.5%
Madeleine Rice 13.5% 11.1% 10.9% 12.1% 9.6% 11.1% 10.1% 8.5% 6.3% 5.7% 1.1%
Patrick Modin 3.6% 3.8% 5.4% 5.7% 6.6% 5.4% 8.4% 8.7% 14.1% 20.3% 18.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.