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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Benjamin Honig 10.0% 14.1% 13.2% 12.0% 12.6% 11.2% 10.5% 7.6% 5.1% 3.0% 0.7%
Spencer Barnes 18.6% 17.0% 13.8% 12.4% 12.6% 9.2% 6.8% 5.4% 2.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Rebecca Runyan 2.4% 1.7% 3.0% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 5.5% 5.9% 10.2% 17.2% 45.3%
Thomas Green 7.8% 7.8% 8.9% 9.3% 10.8% 12.3% 9.8% 12.0% 10.3% 7.1% 3.9%
Lars Osell 9.4% 7.2% 10.1% 8.2% 10.2% 9.7% 10.9% 10.9% 9.8% 9.1% 4.5%
John Majernik 8.5% 9.1% 9.3% 9.8% 10.0% 10.6% 10.2% 9.5% 11.8% 7.1% 4.1%
Will Donovan 8.9% 8.5% 9.8% 9.9% 10.5% 10.5% 8.9% 12.3% 8.6% 7.8% 4.3%
Patrick Modin 4.4% 3.3% 4.1% 6.0% 5.5% 6.9% 9.6% 9.4% 14.3% 20.2% 16.3%
James Owen 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 5.1% 5.9% 6.6% 7.4% 10.6% 14.7% 18.9% 18.8%
Lucas Thress 13.8% 13.7% 12.7% 12.1% 9.7% 10.0% 10.2% 7.6% 5.8% 3.3% 1.1%
Madeleine Rice 12.0% 13.7% 11.2% 12.2% 9.3% 10.1% 10.2% 8.8% 7.1% 4.6% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.