Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Green 7.5% 7.5% 10.1% 10.0% 9.5% 13.2% 10.4% 11.1% 11.3% 6.4% 3.0%
Will Donovan 8.0% 8.1% 9.0% 9.7% 8.8% 11.1% 12.5% 9.7% 11.5% 8.0% 3.6%
John Majernik 7.9% 8.1% 8.9% 8.8% 10.1% 10.7% 10.9% 13.5% 9.1% 8.4% 3.6%
Rebecca Runyan 1.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 3.5% 4.1% 4.4% 6.0% 9.7% 19.0% 44.8%
Madeleine Rice 12.7% 11.7% 10.4% 11.4% 10.7% 10.2% 11.0% 8.5% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1%
Patrick Modin 3.3% 3.8% 5.5% 4.6% 5.7% 6.7% 7.1% 10.5% 14.4% 19.3% 19.1%
James Owen 5.0% 5.1% 3.6% 6.4% 5.8% 7.1% 10.0% 9.2% 13.3% 17.6% 16.9%
Lucas Thress 14.2% 12.6% 13.1% 13.3% 11.4% 7.9% 9.1% 8.8% 5.3% 3.2% 1.1%
Lars Osell 7.3% 8.2% 8.4% 9.9% 10.0% 10.4% 8.9% 12.8% 10.9% 8.5% 4.7%
Spencer Barnes 18.9% 17.9% 14.6% 11.8% 11.0% 9.2% 7.6% 4.4% 2.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Benjamin Honig 14.0% 14.9% 13.7% 11.6% 13.5% 9.4% 8.1% 5.5% 5.0% 3.5% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.