Race 1 - kingfisher | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.4

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Victor Johansson & Mathis Destouches

Purdue University

0.93

+0.44

vs Predicted
2

Rachel Bartel & Meriah Kirschstein

University of Saint Thomas

0.60

-0.35

vs Predicted
3

Ivan Shilov & Kelvin Zheng

University of Illinois

-2.77

+0.38

vs Predicted
4

Gwenyth Schimmel & Christopher Mayo

Western Michigan University

-3.04

-0.47

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.44

Victor Johansson & Mathis Destouches

Purdue University

0.93

0.6%

1st Place
1.65

Rachel Bartel & Meriah Kirschstein

University of Saint Thomas

0.60

0.4%

1st Place
3.38

Ivan Shilov & Kelvin Zheng

University of Illinois

-2.77

0.0%

1st Place
3.53

Gwenyth Schimmel & Christopher Mayo

Western Michigan University

-3.04

0.0%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Victor Johansson	57.9%	39.9%	2.2%	0.0%
Rachel Bartel	39.7%	56.1%	4.1%	0.1%
Ivan Shilov	2.0%	2.5%	51.3%	44.2%
Gwenyth Schimmel	0.4%	1.5%	42.4%	55.7%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.